The future will surprise us. Be prepared.
When scenario planning practitioners and others speak of “looking forward”, they don’t mean prediction. Forecasting implies we know where we’re going, while scenario planning admits we do not. Looking forward is not clairvoyance, nor is it the worship of trend graphs. It is not about guessing which shiny technology or geopolitical shift will “win”. Like a single renewable technology or control system which will dominate the grid. That kind of forward-looking, the PowerPoint prophecy, breeds false certainty. ...